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Evaluation of four methods used to estimate population density of moose Alces alces


Lars Rönnegård, Håkan Sand, Henrik Andrén, Johan Månsson & Åke Pehrson
Rönnegård, L., Sand, H., Andrén, H., Månsson, J. & Pehrson, Å. 2008: Evaluation of four methods used to estimate population density of moose Alces alces. - Wildl. Biol. 14: 358-371.
 
Various survey methods are used to monitor and manage ungulate populations. The choice of optimal method depends on estimation accuracy, management objective and financial constraints. Here we compare estimates produced by four different methods for estimating population size, i.e. aerial counts, hunter observations, pellet group counts and cohort analysis. A Swedish moose Alces alces population was studied during 1973-2005 in the Grimsö Wildlife Research Area (135 km2). The highest correlation was found between cohort analysis and aerial counts (r = 0.69, P < 0.05), and the hunter observations and the aerial counts (r = 0.76, P < 0.10). The different methods produced relatively consistent trends in population estimates over years. Pellet group counts prior to 1997 were not significantly correlated with the other methods, probably due to unrepresentative spatial sampling. A comparison of the aerial and pellet group counts in 2002 and 2006, showed that the average defecation rate was estimated at approximately 14 pellet groups per day per moose. Our results show the importance of having representative spatial sampling in pellet group surveys and indicate that hunter observations can be a useful tool for estimating long-term population trends even in moderately sized areas.
 
Keywords: aerial count, cohort analysis, deer, hunter observations, management, monitoring, pellet group counts
 
Lars Rönnegård, Linnaeus Centre for Bioinformatics, Uppsala University, BMC, Box 598, SE-75124 Uppsala, Sweden, and Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Dalarna University, Sweden - e-mail: lrn@du.se
Håkan Sand, Henrik Andrén, Johan Månsson & Åke Pehrson, Grimsö Wildlife Research Station, Department of Conservation Biology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-730 91 Riddarhyttan, Sweden - e-mail addresses: Hakan.Sand@ekol.slu.se (Håkan Sand); henrik.andren@nvb.slu.se (Henrik Andrén); Johan.Mansson@ekol.slu.se (Johan Månsson); Ake.Pehrson@ekol.slu.se (Åke Pehrson)
 
Corresponding author: Lars Rönnegård
 
Received 14 May 2007, accepted 27 November 2007
 
Associate Editor: Mads C. Forchhammer